CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs megoshort (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef33fbeb7060b45329eaf49e85f391251732027646adb1a02dbff27c4111ae7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GenOneof GenOne, megoshort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda1a…3407backed GenOne | 79c | 3,903$3,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.39 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked megoshort | 30c | 2,588$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.01 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked megoshort | 20c | 1,556$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.24 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed GenOne | 77c | 1,494$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.83 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked megoshort | 24c | 966.69$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.2 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed megoshort | 26c | 959.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.4 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed megoshort | 22c | 941.16$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.96 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed megoshort | 22c | 907.28$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.62 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8a…61a1backed megoshort | 15c | 687.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed GenOne | 75c | 511.13$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.63 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed GenOne | 75c | 497$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.19 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8006…94dcbacked megoshort | 15c | 405.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed megoshort | 20c | 352$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked GenOne | 78c | 341.93$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.43 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed megoshort | 29c | 339.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.59 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed megoshort | 21c | 278.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed megoshort | 30c | 240$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed megoshort | 22c | 227.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed GenOne | 70c | 225$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked megoshort | 21c | 213.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…d02fbacked megoshort | 21c | 205.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed megoshort | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed megoshort | 29c | 170$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed megoshort | 12c | 129$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed GenOne | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…bf7bbacked megoshort | 20c | 105.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked GenOne | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked megoshort | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked megoshort | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…c423backed megoshort | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed megoshort | 20c | 79.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked megoshort | 33c | 76.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e43…afabbacked megoshort | 20c | 72.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ca…f810backed megoshort | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4105…9f14backed megoshort | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked megoshort | 21c | 51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f60…3a16backed megoshort | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da6…107abacked megoshort | 32c | 47.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked megoshort | 33c | 34.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed GenOne | 75c | 24.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: GenOne vs megoshort (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: GenOne vs megoshort - Map 1 WinnerGenOne won
- Counter-Strike: GenOne vs megoshort - Map 2 WinnerGenOne won
- Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs megoshort (+1.5)GenOne won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.