Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef43123c4c66848e7cf050175aef175c933bd9feccd4043b917d07bdc1946cbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nevada Wolf Packof Nevada Wolf Pack, Grand Canyon Antelopes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b98…a558backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 51c | 8,191$4,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,013.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…5dccbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 49c | 8,175$4,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,005.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab1…ba3abacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 49c | 7,941$3,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,891.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1627…b9f0backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 51c | 7,925$4,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,883.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 50c | 1,525$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.57 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 51c | 980.97$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.71 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 49c | 428.73$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.94 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 52c | 81.94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 47c | 39.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 48c | 31.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 50c | 23.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-3.5)this page
- Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Nevada Wolf PackNevada Wolf Pack won
- Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 141.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.