Cricket · resolved market
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Rwanda vs Nepal
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef506268f065adc3b5679f2134d55b1437542160b8903df649862d8df7a28656
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nepalof Rwanda, Nepal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcaf7…2d12backed Rwanda | 0c | 20,760$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Rwanda | 3c | 4,239$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.53 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Rwanda | 1c | 3,380$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Rwanda | 5c | 1,042$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Nepal | 31c | 941.97$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.15 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Rwanda | 15c | 582.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…9f87backed Rwanda | 61c | 329.5$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.24 | 147 | 30.6%45 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Rwanda | 11c | 240.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Rwanda | 73c | 162.21$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ad…4e13backed Rwanda | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Rwanda | 65c | 125.77$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…4adfbacked Rwanda | 32c | 116.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Nepal | 36c | 78.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 682 | 31.2%213 W · 469 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nepal | 44c | 72.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 658 | 50.9%335 W · 323 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa890…1a32backed Rwanda | 71c | 69.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…0c24backed Nepal | 32c | 58.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 211 | 36%76 W · 135 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Rwanda | 25c | 51.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Rwanda | 41c | 49.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Rwanda | 27c | 43.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Rwanda | 59c | 42.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Nepal | 45c | 34.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 380 | 48.2%183 W · 197 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcb…ced9backed Nepal | 72c | 32.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Nepal | 65c | 30.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x031b…517ebacked Rwanda | 77c | 25.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.