La Liga · resolved market
Will Granada CF win on 2026-02-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef6acc95ef724544767e24b543a2982c5ed99ea8b0cfeddd12a416ccc934d109
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 34c | 1,833$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.88 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 69c | 1,650$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.63 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 33c | 1,274$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.22 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 1,079$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.57 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 364.28$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.74 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 13c | 321.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 287.38$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.93 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed No | 68c | 208.82$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Yes | 31c | 197.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 32c | 180$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 66c | 163.18$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 21c | 136.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 125.62$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 20c | 122$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 15c | 96.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 31c | 82.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 29c | 71.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 35c | 69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Yes | 32c | 68.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Yes | 32c | 61.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98c5…dd3bbacked Yes | 33c | 39.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 34.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 74c | 32.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Granada CF win on 2026-02-20?this page
- Will AD Ceuta FC vs. Granada CF end in a draw?No won
- Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-02-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.