La Liga · resolved market
Granada CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef7fbdf31c38794d7cc56d3e72e744ce167c9f039422b8e6b64d75ba77e1f48a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 3,865$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.23 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 51c | 3,702$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 57c | 2,338$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.64 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 1,758$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.54 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 54c | 1,579$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.45 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 302.47$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.93 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 42c | 300$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 291.52$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.52 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 43c | 290$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.7 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 43c | 290$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.7 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 53c | 275.04$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.27 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 43c | 257.14$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.57 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 43c | 180$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 41c | 165.24$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 45c | 105.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 55.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 46c | 44.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 46c | 41.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 50c | 40.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 47c | 36.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Over | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Over | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +13.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Over | 51c | 19.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Granada CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 2.5this page
- Granada CF vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Granada CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 3.5Over won
- Granada CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: UD Almería (-1.5)UD Almería won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.