Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-05-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefc651c23a7798a2d81860baabfd933b3746e739b7a60f027d6304f071814c16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 2,418$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.73 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 37c | 1,936$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.2 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 56c | 693.37$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.81 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed Yes | 44c | 456.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 74c | 416.55$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.07 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 398.18$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.05 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 22c | 389.13$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.67 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa96f…0cd0backed Yes | 44c | 325$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes | 43c | 199.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 70c | 185.96$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 59c | 151.51$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.11 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…d5a3backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 79.42$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb94d…ffa1backed No | 66c | 56.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed No | 57c | 52.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa584…f829backed Yes | 43c | 38.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f7…7eadbacked No | 57c | 36.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…daa0backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 33.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 40c | 32.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2edd…cf00backed No | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd751…0fedbacked Yes | 43c | 23.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-05-08?this page
- Will Hamarkameratene vs. Vålerenga Fotball end in a draw?No won
- Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-05-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.