Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Memphis Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefeb68fa559353df6602eb4de1fe94ef2f0a44c90cacd4e53adbb0dbcbcc3ec3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wake Forest Demon Deaconsof Wake Forest Demon Deacons, Memphis Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 58c | 9,153$5,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,848.66 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Memphis Tigers | 43c | 4,616$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.69 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Memphis Tigers | 44c | 2,244$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.99 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Memphis Tigers | 44c | 1,850$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 57c | 1,424$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.64 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Memphis Tigers | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 35c | 780.22$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.71 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Memphis Tigers | 42c | 678$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.22 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Memphis Tigers | 65c | 552$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.32 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Memphis Tigers | 63c | 442.07$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.65 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Memphis Tigers | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Memphis Tigers | 46c | 230.94$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.65 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdd…0cc1backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 54c | 111.93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Memphis Tigers | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Memphis Tigers | 43c | 55.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 45c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Memphis Tigers | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.