South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Racing Club win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0311d866ecedebcbe8a9588496cfc3b2d764446e8a66fe7272ffa90e1d59162
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,159 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 37c | 8,807$3,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,291.47 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 64c | 2,129$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.51 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 46c | 2,070$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.81 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 1,517$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.37 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 2c | 787.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed No | 35c | 568.29$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.9 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 65c | 549.37$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.28 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 35c | 329.05$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.88 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 59c | 319.48$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.49 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 35c | 238.34$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.92 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 35c | 236.15$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.49 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 61c | 181.81$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 62c | 179$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.46 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 35c | 148.72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.83 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Yes | 23c | 129$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.33 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 35c | 125.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.28 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 10c | 102.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb2…a30cbacked No | 11c | 95.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 44c | 85.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 54c | 78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 35c | 77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Yes | 69c | 73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 37c | 71.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 25c | 59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 27c | 58.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 65c | 54.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Yes | 35c | 45.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed No | 38c | 40.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed No | 31c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…5760backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 39c | 30.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 66c | 28.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc644…1546backed Yes | 75c | 26.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 64c | 18.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will CA Belgrano vs. Racing Club end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.