Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier B: Argentina vs Cayman
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0380fd64ad7310b43563429c2c919775995823c5a04fc6374c797e64db5525a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Caymanof Argentina, Cayman
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,667 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Argentina | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Argentina | 5c | 4,034$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.39 | 639 | 46.5%297 W · 342 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Argentina | 7c | 1,722$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.57 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Argentina | 5c | 965$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ef…1f02backed Argentina | 8c | 546.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Argentina | 5c | 530$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 682 | 31.2%213 W · 469 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Argentina | 5c | 487.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Argentina | 14c | 444.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3981…9e5dbacked Argentina | 21c | 230.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Argentina | 6c | 187$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Argentina | 26c | 156.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…7858backed Argentina | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e7…643fbacked Cayman | 79c | 131.87$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Cayman | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Argentina | 22c | 103$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Argentina | 22c | 92.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 432 | 44.2%191 W · 241 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…39e6backed Argentina | 23c | 86.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cayman | 77c | 86.28$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Cayman | 75c | 78.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Argentina | 20c | 75.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…4c15backed Cayman | 77c | 71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Cayman | 70c | 70.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Cayman | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Cayman | 78c | 59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9210…5430backed Cayman | 69c | 58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cayman | 76c | 53.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Argentina | 25c | 51.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…3045backed Cayman | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…385cbacked Cayman | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cayman | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.