La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Castellón vs. Granada CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf04a02271989b5eec1477bc600a6826b6641a786f08901b38a6491ea7399734d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 17c | 5,746$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.92 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 15c | 3,207$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.6 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 23c | 527.32$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.59 | 492 | 52.6%259 W · 233 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 14c | 508.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed No | 77c | 221.76$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 77c | 193.36$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…916abacked Yes | 17c | 167.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked No | 77c | 98.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 26c | 95.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…39e7backed Yes | 17c | 95.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 13c | 82.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 98 | 23.5%23 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc41f…2a81backed No | 77c | 64.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 76c | 59.58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 23c | 49.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 23c | 48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 25c | 47.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 30.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 105 | 61.9%65 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Castellón vs. Granada CF end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Castellón win on 2026-04-06?Yes won
- Will Granada CF win on 2026-04-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.