Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northwestern State Demons vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf05734c8a98560b60a9ae653ebe9871a820dab43eca9142af8afe7e59f7a99eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosof Northwestern State Demons, Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,693 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd2b…45c5backed Northwestern State Demons | 55c | 4,570$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 58c | 2,999$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.94 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 45c | 2,813$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.2 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Northwestern State Demons | 11c | 2,552$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.89 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff61…e560backed Northwestern State Demons | 56c | 865.43$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 61c | 242.96$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.52 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 71c | 184.55$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 51c | 171.34$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.39 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 62c | 128.15$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 64c | 120.89$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…176bbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 52c | 86.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 63c | 80.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Northwestern State Demons | 53c | 60.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked Northwestern State Demons | 53c | 52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf926…e0cbbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 62c | 46.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x243e…6c2abacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 61c | 40.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66bb…7f2cbacked Northwestern State Demons | 42c | 38.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…c3e9backed Northwestern State Demons | 28c | 35.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 51c | 35.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Northwestern State Demons | 42c | 34.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 53c | 28.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Northwestern State Demons | 59c | 27.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…23a0backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 56c | 26.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…f943backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 53c | 26.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.