Premier League · resolved market
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0a0531ef07086d78b78c66b06d737be86dec3eabb1efc07e4aa00fab103b52b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 44c | 8,000$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7633…f7f1backed Yes | 0c | 6,760$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 4,297$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.36 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 56c | 2,512$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.08 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 1,983$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.3 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 56c | 770.25$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.91 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 44c | 661$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.27 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 43c | 551.55$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.91 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 58c | 440$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 39c | 271.86$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed No | 57c | 270$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 44c | 264$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.16 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 22c | 200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 65c | 197.14$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Yes | 11c | 185.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 35c | 157.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed No | 57c | 116.26$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 57c | 79.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 44c | 70.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 57c | 49.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…489fbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 56c | 44.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will Oxford United FC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-01-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.