Cricket · resolved market
ODI Series New Zealand vs Zimbabwe, Women: New Zealand vs Zimbabwe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0a8f1cc87fd4d7e2736144dcafd42a0a23abcdd1a2e41dac91f1cff420f966b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Zealandof New Zealand, Zimbabwe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,636 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zimbabwe | 1c | 4,435$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Zimbabwe | 5c | 3,373$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.75 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Zimbabwe | 3c | 3,262$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.68 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Zimbabwe | 4c | 975.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Zimbabwe | 4c | 389.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5b…e7d8backed Zimbabwe | 8c | 227.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa4…a2b9backed Zimbabwe | 9c | 211.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Zimbabwe | 6c | 164.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Zimbabwe | 10c | 139.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa28b…a895backed Zimbabwe | 12c | 89.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.