Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Norfolk State Spartans vs. James Madison Dukes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0c902e570cd9124783b820390e069aa112235d0892a94b320ede82c7e9f61aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- James Madison Dukesof Norfolk State Spartans, James Madison Dukes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed James Madison Dukes | 80c | 6,200$4,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Norfolk State Spartans | 20c | 3,955$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Norfolk State Spartans | 23c | 1,692$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.73 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Norfolk State Spartans | 19c | 800$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Norfolk State Spartans | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked James Madison Dukes | 71c | 420.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.87 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -14.7wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Norfolk State Spartans | 23c | 276$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Norfolk State Spartans | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Norfolk State Spartans | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Norfolk State Spartans | 24c | 82.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked James Madison Dukes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Norfolk State Spartans | 18c | 61.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Norfolk State Spartans | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.35per pick | 44cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed James Madison Dukes | 76c | 17.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norfolk State Spartans vs. James Madison Dukesthis page
- Norfolk State Spartans vs. James Madison Dukes: O/U 140.5Under won
- Spread: James Madison Dukes (-8.5)Norfolk State Spartans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.