Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Diallo vs Auger-Aliassime
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0efd89bac7245d28005f3f690eee215597f69c79ae7dae59e27b23cdd443fbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dialloof Diallo, Auger-Aliassime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,819 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9db8…4392backed Diallo | 42c | 473.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.36 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Auger-Aliassime | 13c | 407.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Auger-Aliassime | 3c | 355.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Auger-Aliassime | 68c | 300.57$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.39 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Auger-Aliassime | 57c | 268.59$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.69 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Diallo | 32c | 234.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.38 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Auger-Aliassime | 26c | 193.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Auger-Aliassime | 59c | 131.41$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.54 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Auger-Aliassime | 16c | 106$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Diallo | 51c | 97.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Diallo | 75c | 93.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Diallo | 32c | 83.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.08 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Auger-Aliassime | 39c | 62.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Auger-Aliassime | 66c | 44.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Diallo | 37c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…04a7backed Auger-Aliassime | 40c | 30.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Auger-Aliassime | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Auger-Aliassime | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Diallo | 75c | 14.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Diallo vs Auger-Aliassimethis page
- BNP Paribas Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Felix Auger-AliassimeFelix Auger-Aliassime won
- Diallo vs. Auger-Aliassime: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Diallo vs. Auger-Aliassime: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Diallo vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Diallo (+1.5)Diallo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.