Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Diallo (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b33caae19e31b181f437c1bc6ef9b81f4347da5fe4a6a5283914ed2a270e890
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dialloof Auger-Aliassime, Diallo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,341 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Diallo | 45c | 7,099$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,904.29 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Auger-Aliassime | 57c | 7,018$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.02 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Diallo | 43c | 6,996$3,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,987.87 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Auger-Aliassime | 55c | 870.08$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.54 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Diallo | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Diallo | 49c | 308.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.5 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Auger-Aliassime | 51c | 193.05$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.53 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Diallo | 54c | 188.23$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.23 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Auger-Aliassime | 34c | 158.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Auger-Aliassime | 55c | 133.66$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.51 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Diallo | 44c | 121.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.79 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Diallo | 45c | 119.07$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Auger-Aliassime | 37c | 95.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d0…1a1abacked Auger-Aliassime | 56c | 80.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x149f…d306backed Auger-Aliassime | 55c | 73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Diallo | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Diallo | 45c | 58.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…70ffbacked Auger-Aliassime | 55c | 43.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Diallo | 45c | 42.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Auger-Aliassime | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Auger-Aliassime | 55c | 27.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Auger-Aliassime | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Diallo | 45c | 23.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Diallo (+1.5)this page
- BNP Paribas Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Felix Auger-AliassimeFelix Auger-Aliassime won
- Diallo vs. Auger-Aliassime: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Diallo vs. Auger-Aliassime: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Diallo vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Diallo vs Auger-AliassimeDiallo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.