Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf125a7bbfe9819be0e79b2e2a79619ce70dece3cb2930dcc96a11717fc1ef38d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Secret Whalesof Team Secret Whales, MVK Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Team Secret Whales | 36c | 1,328$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.88 | 499 | 40.7%203 W · 296 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked MVK Esports | 64c | 1,117$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Team Secret Whales | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.37 | 596 | 47.7%284 W · 312 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed MVK Esports | 60c | 213.2$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.92 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked MVK Esports | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…1a19backed MVK Esports | 65c | 81.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 380 | 34.7%132 W · 248 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed MVK Esports | 64c | 78.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Secret Whales | 35c | 67.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Secret Whales | 37c | 36.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d20…ca2abacked MVK Esports | 64c | 24.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Team Secret Whales won
- First Blood in Game 2?MVK Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular SeasonTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 1 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 2 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.