Lol · resolved market

LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb1efee3f2c70bcd874213b6aa58f7d1f45bea6e9cefbb970f349f10d06adf2b

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Team Secret Whalesof Team Secret Whales, MVK Esports
Resolved: Feb 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $59,475
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $80,916

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,475 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe478…610ebacked MVK Esports	1c	7,332$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.2	73	5.5%4 W · 69 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	12cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Team Secret Whales	63c	5,176$3,261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,915.06	364	60.2%219 W · 145 L	+9.6wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed MVK Esports	11c	4,006$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.02	1,056	28.5%301 W · 755 L	+21.3wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3532…3711backed MVK Esports	37c	2,635$969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$968.68	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	0%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d69…7e98backed MVK Esports	21c	2,253$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.27	189	14.8%28 W · 161 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Secret Whales	61c	1,630$997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$633.1	2,311	39.4%910 W · 1,401 L	-83.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed MVK Esports	37c	1,566$584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$584.45	140	38.6%54 W · 86 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…c691backed MVK Esports	37c	1,562$573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$572.93	198	39.9%79 W · 119 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Team Secret Whales	65c	1,526$990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$535.98	1,158	42.6%493 W · 665 L	-23.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed MVK Esports	36c	1,409$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.58	3,584	40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L	+31.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Team Secret Whales	76c	1,222$926 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.01	65	60%39 W · 26 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MVK Esports	37c	1,137$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.54	2,825	41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L	-14.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed MVK Esports	6c	999.99$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	1,806	39.1%707 W · 1,099 L	-30.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Team Secret Whales	64c	990.75$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360.6	856	52.2%447 W · 409 L	+34.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MVK Esports	37c	967.57$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358	2,341	40.3%943 W · 1,398 L	-61.8wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked MVK Esports	39c	715.42$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279	148	35.1%52 W · 96 L	-9.3wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x096a…0074backed MVK Esports	40c	623.41$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.8	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Secret Whales	64c	608.97$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.23	701	62.2%436 W · 265 L	-37.3wins	-0.05per pick	68cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked MVK Esports	40c	608$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.2	342	50.6%173 W · 169 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Team Secret Whales	65c	468$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.89	373	45%168 W · 205 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Team Secret Whales	61c	461.64$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.47	288	55.9%161 W · 127 L	-20.1wins	-0.07per pick	63cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed MVK Esports	43c	461.48$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,131	43.1%487 W · 644 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked MVK Esports	35c	421.75$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.61	178	26.4%47 W · 131 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Team Secret Whales	65c	410$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.7	1,183	52%615 W · 568 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6690…2da0backed MVK Esports	20c	398.41$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.68	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Team Secret Whales	74c	367.73$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.55	493	66.7%329 W · 164 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	69cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Secret Whales	64c	362.16$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.22	2,004	58.2%1,166 W · 838 L	+86.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Team Secret Whales	72c	313.98$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.86	235	47.7%112 W · 123 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Team Secret Whales	66c	301.51$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.51	39	66.7%26 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+13%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0b3…b220backed MVK Esports	37c	300$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	358	50.8%182 W · 176 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MVK Esports	35c	295$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.83	1,731	44.2%765 W · 966 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MVK Esports	27c	240.64$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.17	1,592	34%541 W · 1,051 L	-79.3wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed MVK Esports	36c	239.39$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.69	335	52.8%177 W · 158 L	+15.5wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf71…9f1cbacked Team Secret Whales	72c	220.91$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.91	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed MVK Esports	32c	220$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.1	941	44.6%420 W · 521 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f05…85c5backed Team Secret Whales	64c	187.08$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.53	398	61.8%246 W · 152 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8c…ec8fbacked Team Secret Whales	60c	176.6$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.64	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf828…00a5backed MVK Esports	11c	175.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Team Secret Whales	66c	173.3$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.44	479	51.4%246 W · 233 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc19b…a935backed Team Secret Whales	61c	169.2$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.99	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed MVK Esports	36c	166$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.76	431	48%207 W · 224 L	+13.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked Team Secret Whales	63c	158.73$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.73	117	50.4%59 W · 58 L	-8.3wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed MVK Esports	8c	144.33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	1,175	47.4%557 W · 618 L	+42.9wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Team Secret Whales	64c	141$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.76	110	60%66 W · 44 L	+10.2wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed MVK Esports	28c	138.45$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.93	392	39%153 W · 239 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f76…6323backed MVK Esports	14c	135.08$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.07	218	10.1%22 W · 196 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75a4…3ff7backed Team Secret Whales	80c	127.5$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	82	69.5%57 W · 25 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	66cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x968f…2a1fbacked Team Secret Whales	77c	119.31$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.31	226	46.5%105 W · 121 L	-7.8wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed MVK Esports	38c	110.53$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	219	43.8%96 W · 123 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a8…f170backed Team Secret Whales	65c	100$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ff…997ebacked MVK Esports	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	88	42%37 W · 51 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7482…b7d0backed MVK Esports	34c	100$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	79	34.2%27 W · 52 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7c…5a30backed Team Secret Whales	62c	91.61$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.81	289	42.6%123 W · 166 L	+11.9wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2249…3005backed Team Secret Whales	61c	87$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.93	284	58.5%166 W · 118 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa825…2ef0backed MVK Esports	34c	79.68$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.09	183	42.6%78 W · 105 L	-14.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-18%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd75…ae75backed Team Secret Whales	71c	77.83$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.83	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecf0…0d38backed MVK Esports	45c	77.32$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	100	41%41 W · 59 L	-8.7wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Secret Whales	60c	77$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31	1,924	35.9%691 W · 1,233 L	-97.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc887…c181backed Team Secret Whales	80c	75.81$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.16	102	51%52 W · 50 L	-9.8wins	-0.10per pick	61cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Team Secret Whales	72c	67.99$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.28	1,593	43.8%697 W · 896 L	-74.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed MVK Esports	35c	57.17$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	468	46.8%219 W · 249 L	-23.6wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked MVK Esports	39c	51.28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,048	46.1%483 W · 565 L	-43.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…fadbbacked Team Secret Whales	67c	48$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.84	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe49d…c3dbbacked MVK Esports	36c	43.06$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	632	47.6%301 W · 331 L	-17.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc30…8780backed MVK Esports	34c	40$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.7	76	46.1%35 W · 41 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf5…fd4abacked Team Secret Whales	63c	39.85$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.6	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4f6…e8e2backed Team Secret Whales	73c	36.77$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.91	12	83.3%10 W · 2 L	+3.0wins	+0.25per pick	58cpaid	+71.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed MVK Esports	38c	33.94$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.97	448	43.8%196 W · 252 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5db0…73f1backed Team Secret Whales	63c	31.75$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.75	46	60.9%28 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…6d41backed MVK Esports	49c	31.53$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	223	55.2%123 W · 100 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1e0…70f8backed Team Secret Whales	65c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	59	71.2%42 W · 17 L	+4.2wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfa8…cd1ebacked Team Secret Whales	68c	29.41$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.41	791	56.1%444 W · 347 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2dae…a50bbacked MVK Esports	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	-5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e0…b300backed Team Secret Whales	54c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	123	53.7%66 W · 57 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5784…6788backed Team Secret Whales	79c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.2	62	59.7%37 W · 25 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd43c…fde1backed Team Secret Whales	76c	15.68$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.76	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8e9…fd2dbacked Team Secret Whales	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	66cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
First Blood in Game 1?Team Secret Whales won
First Blood in Game 2?MVK Esports won
Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)Team Secret Whales won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular SeasonTeam Secret Whales won
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 1 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event