Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Troy Trojans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf14f90ff4a8a809739cc2ab8c528f7f4330b0799d71c32efb9cbdc898ffc9cbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Troy Trojansof Southern Miss Golden Eagles, Troy Trojans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,043 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 26c | 1,266$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.87 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…b9e1backed Troy Trojans | 70c | 963.02$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.91 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Troy Trojans | 69c | 694.56$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.31 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 31c | 640.17$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.45 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 30c | 383.16$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.95 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Troy Trojans | 73c | 356.03$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Troy Trojans | 71c | 309.89$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.98 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 6c | 289.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 30c | 214.38$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 10c | 180.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Troy Trojans | 69c | 95.69$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Troy Trojans | 65c | 88.57$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 35c | 85.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Troy Trojansthis page
- Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Troy Trojans: O/U 143.5Over won
- Spread: Troy Trojans (-5.5)Troy Trojans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.