CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf166e0e193550e66b13674fbe5469bdb7ad7b523ef0985c9be1009243cccb48e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof CYBERSHOKE Esports, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3013…279bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 38c | 1,691$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.99 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | -18.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 50c | 1,283$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.52 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 23c | 1,087$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.34 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb12…6a81backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Virtus.pro | 75c | 677.97$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.49 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Virtus.pro | 76c | 629.57$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.42 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 50c | 609.82$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.91 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 49c | 455$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.95 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 452.46$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.92 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f8…436cbacked Virtus.pro | 65c | 310.92$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.77 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 13c | 292.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…c83bbacked Virtus.pro | 46c | 250.63$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.49 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 24c | 204.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 167 | 20.4%34 W · 133 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus.pro | 51c | 202.04$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.99 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 49c | 190.8$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.7 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 164.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.72 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Virtus.pro | 74c | 154.28$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 38c | 153.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Virtus.pro | 60c | 125.66$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…031cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…e076backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 84.71$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 59.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 54.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 49.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Virtus.pro | 70c | 47.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52cd…85fbbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 24c | 45.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 365 | 41.9%153 W · 212 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Virtus.pro | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 603 | 58.5%353 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…b2ffbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fc…9f06backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 18.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.