Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: FC København (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1f402455c385cf1ddacc5cb4f5127d5d42c4e7737c166e5fc780d446e757ec5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Odense BKof FC København, Odense BK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Odense BK | 31c | 403.95$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.72 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Odense BK | 52c | 345.57$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.66 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked FC København | 69c | 243.86$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.26 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed FC København | 37c | 187.42$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked FC København | 47c | 181$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.53 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FC København | 25c | 152.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…f1a6backed FC København | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed FC København | 78c | 114.47$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.29 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC København | 56c | 102.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed Odense BK | 54c | 89.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked FC København | 37c | 78.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Odense BK | 52c | 63.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Odense BK | 53c | 56.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked Odense BK | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Odense BK | 65c | 37.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed FC København | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked FC København | 43c | 27.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed FC København | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Odense BK | 54c | 23.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Odense BK | 49c | 22.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC København (-1.5)this page
- FC København vs. Odense BK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC København vs. Odense BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC København vs. Odense BK: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC København vs. Odense BK: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC København vs. Odense BK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC København (-2.5)Odense BK won
- Spread: Odense BK (-1.5)FC København won
- Spread: Odense BK (-2.5)FC København won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.