Tennis · resolved market
ITF Las Palmas: Carmen Gallardo Guevara vs Aya El Aouni
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf21e64fb4fe1bf7b64460c9738165b8d95eb3af52358e4a130d40c04f96b0669
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carmen Gallardo Guevaraof Carmen Gallardo Guevara, Aya El Aouni
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Aya El Aouni | 0c | 7,444$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 72c | 994.49$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.02 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 80c | 846.37$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.6 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aya El Aouni | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 57c | 301.85$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.93 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Aya El Aouni | 31c | 298$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.03 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Aya El Aouni | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Aya El Aouni | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Aya El Aouni | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…fd02backed Aya El Aouni | 35c | 112.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Aya El Aouni | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Aya El Aouni | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Aya El Aouni | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Aya El Aouni | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 69c | 80.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Aya El Aouni | 47c | 72.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Aya El Aouni | 43c | 66.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 58c | 64.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Aya El Aouni | 42c | 64.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Aya El Aouni | 42c | 60.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Aya El Aouni | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9d…2ee4backed Aya El Aouni | 49c | 39.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 57c | 24.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Las Palmas: Carmen Gallardo Guevara vs Aya El Aounithis page
- Guevara vs. Aouni: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Guevara vs AouniGuevara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.