Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open, Qualification: Yibing Wu vs Manoj Dhamne Manas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf224fb3be6f2b134f78f5bbaa587d8f781952bd4cc24614545a29c1d9c2520b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yibing Wuof Yibing Wu, Manoj Dhamne Manas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 5c | 10,492$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.7 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 10c | 7,278$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.89 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 3c | 5,356$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.7 | 341 | 36.4%124 W · 217 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 5c | 3,268$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.34 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 14c | 2,523$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.41 | 340 | 47.4%161 W · 179 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 5c | 2,092$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.27 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e11…6a5abacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 1c | 2,035$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 16c | 1,396$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.4 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 14c | 1,176$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.46 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 2c | 921.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 7c | 779.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…b542backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 17c | 391.81$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 3c | 373.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 15c | 338.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 10c | 273.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 203 | 31%63 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 7c | 190.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 15c | 158.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 15c | 127.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 16c | 119.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 14c | 94.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…3f92backed Yibing Wu | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 224 | 82.6%185 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 80cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid Open, Qualification: Yibing Wu vs Manoj Dhamne Manasthis page
- Set Handicap: Wu (-1.5) vs Manas (+1.5)Wu won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.