NHL · resolved market
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf235103e736ac3c5bafbcc779b8e558fca5c039b385b7a2b2af387027a961944
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Hurricanes, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Hurricanes | 35c | 2,064$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.27 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Panthers | 65c | 1,807$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.99 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Panthers | 64c | 832.33$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.64 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…e19fbacked Hurricanes | 38c | 369.7$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Panthers | 62c | 328.02$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Hurricanes | 34c | 303.03$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.03 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Panthers | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Hurricanes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Panthers | 65c | 168$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Panthers | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Panthers | 65c | 105$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Hurricanes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Hurricanes | 34c | 85.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Hurricanes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Panthers | 65c | 73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Panthers | 65c | 67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Panthers | 65c | 54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Hurricanes | 35c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Panthers | 64c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Hurricanes | 36c | 41.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Hurricanes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Hurricanes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Hurricanes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Hurricanes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Hurricanes | 35c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Panthers | 65c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Hurricanes | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Hurricanes | 35c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Hurricanes | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Panthers | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
- Panthers vs. HurricanesPanthers won
- Panthers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.