Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Division One vs Dynamo Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf26c630348b053031e8c0c761962c7353f3426c17866df62521f878ef810bbb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dynamo Esportsof Division One, Dynamo Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d43…43a7backed Division One | 1c | 2,542$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 48cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8286…701fbacked Dynamo Esports | 43c | 252.32$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed Division One | 62c | 187$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.04 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…eb23backed Division One | 68c | 162.84$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c2…1e3abacked Division One | 61c | 161.65$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 70cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Dynamo Esports | 47c | 159.59$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.17 | 1,629 | 45%733 W · 896 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Dynamo Esports | 42c | 115.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 1,329 | 43.6%580 W · 749 L | -47.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Division One | 31c | 86.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Dynamo Esports | 70c | 47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1,375 | 39%536 W · 839 L | -59.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed Dynamo Esports | 55c | 39.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234f…0d0fbacked Division One | 66c | 39.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Division One vs Dynamo Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Division One vs Dynamo Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageDivision One won
- Valorant: Division One vs Dynamo Esports - Map 1 WinnerDivision One won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.