Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Arizona Wildcats vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 141.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2882831565fb8be5d0d22ca5827f340b50db3475cc52bcbf3cd7ae1f2aef4db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 49c | 21,246$10,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,752.47 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 20,193$10,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,209.93 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 50c | 2,263$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.2 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 49c | 1,905$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.33 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 51c | 1,576$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.81 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 51c | 796.89$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.48 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 51c | 396.5$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.29 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 50c | 396.5$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 51c | 392.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.23 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 50c | 239.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 50c | 119.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…ada4backed Over | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -10.2wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 51c | 99.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 78.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…7ddebacked Under | 53c | 65.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked Under | 50c | 65.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Under | 51c | 64.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 51c | 59.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Over | 50c | 38.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Under | 51c | 38.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…efaabacked Over | 50c | 33.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Under | 52c | 24.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Under | 51c | 23.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Wildcats vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 141.5this page
- Arizona Wildcats vs. Houston CougarsArizona Wildcats won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-5.5)Arizona Wildcats won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-6.5)Arizona Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.