Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Navy vs. Colgate
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2b2256602ff45834b7d5b6f35db665e046d78aa3d20115bdce4e1400071b253
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colgateof Navy, Colgate
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Navy | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Colgate | 70c | 333.33$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef5…6c38backed Navy | 50c | 183$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5112…b08ebacked Colgate | 50c | 115$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 36cpaid | +238.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…c3f3backed Colgate | 50c | 104$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Navy | 27c | 95.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…50bbbacked Colgate | 50c | 68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Navy | 26c | 67.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab9…3f5fbacked Colgate | 73c | 61.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Colgate | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0a…76a3backed Colgate | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Colgate | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d20…4ec1backed Colgate | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +154.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1abcbacked Navy | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c00…34f2backed Navy | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d3…a850backed Navy | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5018…7343backed Navy | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c9…3e11backed Navy | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1928…abffbacked Colgate | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd39b…4c32backed Navy | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.