Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Jacquet (-1.5) vs Gaubas (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2d1e4ce3475777f8fa3deb6080a9290874c1a4fcea24984eb7033f95d2a4658
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jacquetof Jacquet, Gaubas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7547…d158backed Gaubas | 45c | 281.17$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.77 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…594bbacked Jacquet | 55c | 214.55$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.55 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Gaubas | 45c | 214.55$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.55 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Jacquet | 53c | 179.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Jacquet | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Gaubas | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Gaubas | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 346 | 50.6%175 W · 171 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Gaubas | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Gaubas | 48c | 43.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1930…691cbacked Jacquet | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Jacquet | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Gaubas | 42c | 37.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 432 | 50.5%218 W · 214 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7584…d6e6backed Jacquet | 52c | 36.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +4.6wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Jacquet | 52c | 34.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Jacquet | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Jacquet (-1.5) vs Gaubas (+1.5)this page
- Set 3 Winner: Jacquet vs GaubasJacquet won
- Wimbledon ATP: Kyrian Jacquet vs Vilius GaubasKyrian Jacquet won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.