CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FOKUS REALITY vs GAMEHARMONY (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #3 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf301e79d3efa4e8c5ce36ed8106f67cc82bc29db4c15ba8822beab714c720fac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GAMEHARMONYof FOKUS REALITY, GAMEHARMONY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,478 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed FOKUS REALITY | 0c | 4,206$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc445…9427backed GAMEHARMONY | 25c | 550$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +79%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…7dbebacked GAMEHARMONY | 25c | 540$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800d…652ebacked GAMEHARMONY | 19c | 510$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e8…5829backed GAMEHARMONY | 19c | 505$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 19cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…c16ebacked GAMEHARMONY | 19c | 495$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbccf…60e4backed FOKUS REALITY | 75c | 280$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…5cf6backed FOKUS REALITY | 75c | 275$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…0f8cbacked FOKUS REALITY | 75c | 270$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…a8f4backed FOKUS REALITY | 75c | 265$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked GAMEHARMONY | 21c | 160.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.88 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked FOKUS REALITY | 74c | 140.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.33 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked FOKUS REALITY | 74c | 131.75$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 1,318 | 51.7%682 W · 636 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed GAMEHARMONY | 18c | 129$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.78 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed GAMEHARMONY | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 1,037 | 39.8%413 W · 624 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed FOKUS REALITY | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,069 | 37.8%404 W · 665 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked GAMEHARMONY | 35c | 71.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed FOKUS REALITY | 65c | 67.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked GAMEHARMONY | 79c | 40.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6575…715bbacked FOKUS REALITY | 77c | 20.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.