La Liga · resolved market
Real Sporting de Gijón vs. SD Huesca: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf301f693f13fee6d157c1099c50c2c49b9cb64ca0b4a62564fd2cfeaf4e2b4d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 46c | 140$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Yes | 47c | 124$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed No | 53c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 62c | 62.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 46.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed No | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed No | 53c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed No | 54c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked No | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked No | 54c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed No | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 56cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Yes | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed No | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked No | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…848dbacked No | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed No | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. SD Huesca: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. SD Huesca: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. SD Huesca: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. SD Huesca: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Real Sporting de Gijón (-1.5)SD Huesca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.