CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fingers Crossed vs Brute (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf302c1f049c2c725ce6a6730c8199dae2031a743184a477b39f088d9647aa5f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fingers Crossedof Fingers Crossed, Brute
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaefa…86f5backed Fingers Crossed | 68c | 1,627$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Brute | 20c | 1,213$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.83 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Brute | 35c | 511.26$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.88 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Brute | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Fingers Crossed | 65c | 222$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 983 | 52.4%515 W · 468 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Brute | 37c | 202.22$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.33 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Brute | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Brute | 33c | 183.26$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed Fingers Crossed | 63c | 172$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Brute | 39c | 164.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Fingers Crossed | 67c | 128.44$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Brute | 32c | 78.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Fingers Crossed | 67c | 73.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 385 | 52.2%201 W · 184 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Fingers Crossed | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.