Tennis · resolved market
ITF Mohammedia: Aran Teixido Garcia vs Carolina Kuhl
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf37fad8e0b37620e94cc0bc2eaa17a9431bff205fcb7ccd6ff0162e5b22f7c6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aran Teixido Garciaof Aran Teixido Garcia, Carolina Kuhl
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Carolina Kuhl | 28c | 869.22$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.29 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Aran Teixido Garcia | 71c | 680.16$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.25 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Carolina Kuhl | 16c | 520.15$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Carolina Kuhl | 18c | 476.89$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Carolina Kuhl | 28c | 357.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Carolina Kuhl | 20c | 244.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Aran Teixido Garcia | 72c | 237$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Aran Teixido Garcia | 74c | 159.36$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Carolina Kuhl | 17c | 147$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Aran Teixido Garcia | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Aran Teixido Garcia | 77c | 115$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Carolina Kuhl | 28c | 90.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Carolina Kuhl | 18c | 59.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Aran Teixido Garcia | 72c | 52.78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Aran Teixido Garcia | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5134…abeebacked Aran Teixido Garcia | 74c | 22.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.