Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: enjoy boys vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf388dfe6d9860537ac4bed433e3f7576ed65b34624f3d62fe3da0a80bd6f5012
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Two Moveof enjoy boys, Two Move
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked enjoy boys | 9c | 558.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked enjoy boys | 30c | 222.4$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.79 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Two Move | 77c | 221.5$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.89 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0de7…62d0backed enjoy boys | 42c | 166.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed enjoy boys | 18c | 166.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Two Move | 74c | 148.62$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3329…6c52backed Two Move | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Two Move | 68c | 85.87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed enjoy boys | 18c | 71.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked enjoy boys | 18c | 64.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…59e1backed Two Move | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…47cdbacked enjoy boys | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed enjoy boys | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe7…4276backed enjoy boys | 42c | 38.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e0…369dbacked Two Move | 54c | 37.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Two Move | 67c | 36.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Two Move | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Two Move | 62c | 21.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 122 | 63.9%78 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a3…ce1dbacked Two Move | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: enjoy boys vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: enjoy boys vs Two Move - Game 1 Winnerenjoy boys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.