Tennis · resolved market
Brescia: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Yuliana Lizarazo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3a22b9eb515fd5c733864f4760bdb6b3092a9580ba9afb494dcfe8ec23c7541
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sarah Rakotomangaof Sarah Rakotomanga, Yuliana Lizarazo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yuliana Lizarazo | 5c | 7,383$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.8 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Yuliana Lizarazo | 21c | 1,430$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.95 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yuliana Lizarazo | 5c | 1,181$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 302 | 26.8%81 W · 221 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9c…cf78backed Yuliana Lizarazo | 4c | 875$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…7a21backed Yuliana Lizarazo | 7c | 490.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec28…8d7abacked Yuliana Lizarazo | 6c | 474.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…929fbacked Yuliana Lizarazo | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yuliana Lizarazo | 3c | 334$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 196 | 26%51 W · 145 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Yuliana Lizarazo | 17c | 134$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Yuliana Lizarazo | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 222 | 8.6%19 W · 203 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Yuliana Lizarazo | 17c | 118$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yuliana Lizarazo | 14c | 113.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yuliana Lizarazo | 16c | 112.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 78c | 104$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 80c | 103.04$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…29a8backed Yuliana Lizarazo | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.