CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3a9ba2058b56aa962e5a0c1b3e95fea36766cf85d6d44b14a8a10de90e85062
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bebopof Bebop, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Misa Esports | 19c | 613.1$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.43 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Misa Esports | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Misa Esports | 34c | 199.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bebop | 76c | 187.47$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bebop | 74c | 183.48$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bebop | 70c | 159.25$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Misa Esports | 42c | 100.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Bebop | 65c | 99.88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Bebop | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked Misa Esports | 41c | 65.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Misa Esports | 35c | 61.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Bebop | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Misa Esports | 39c | 51.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Misa Esports | 38c | 44.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Misa Esports | 34c | 32.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd7…70ddbacked Bebop | 76c | 21.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Bebop | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Bebop | 59c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x378f…b454backed Bebop | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series#3 Group ABebop won
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Misa Esports - Map 1 WinnerBebop won
- Map Handicap: BBP (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)Bebop won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.