CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series#3 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x949bc5f8b5ea4f1b2c316fd71738b92ebe3d579c9f1d6692282d7f2da0390bf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bebopof Bebop, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Misa Esports | 29c | 2,916$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.73 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed Bebop | 71c | 2,372$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.83 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Bebop | 70c | 1,450$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.62 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Bebop | 71c | 819$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.51 | 208 | 42.8%89 W · 119 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Misa Esports | 25c | 600.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Misa Esports | 29c | 599.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Misa Esports | 29c | 482.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.79 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed Misa Esports | 30c | 333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bebop | 76c | 269.16$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Bebop | 76c | 261.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.81 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Misa Esports | 30c | 240$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Misa Esports | 29c | 223.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Misa Esports | 15c | 220.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa943…bcbebacked Bebop | 72c | 200.08$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.02 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Misa Esports | 29c | 182.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Bebop | 70c | 124.25$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Misa Esports | 22c | 122.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Misa Esports | 19c | 117.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…3e38backed Misa Esports | 17c | 117.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Misa Esports | 30c | 112.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Misa Esports | 14c | 110$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Misa Esports | 25c | 107.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Bebop | 70c | 107.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 848 | 56%475 W · 373 L | +31.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Misa Esports | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Misa Esports | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Misa Esports | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 560 | 49.8%279 W · 281 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4994…3e36backed Misa Esports | 31c | 36.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Bebop | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Bebop | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Bebop | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Bebop | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed Bebop | 71c | 14.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series#3 Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Misa Esports - Map 1 WinnerBebop won
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Misa Esports - Map 2 WinnerBebop won
- Map Handicap: BBP (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)Bebop won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.