Tennis · resolved market
ITF Monastir: Sofia Camila Rojas vs Aya El Sayed
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3f09725b635ffff93e8388136db68d44cb3c9a7a862cf486e8e07cc59601ca2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sofia Camila Rojasof Sofia Camila Rojas, Aya El Sayed
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Sofia Camila Rojas | 71c | 4,924$3,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.94 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aya El Sayed | 32c | 3,089$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.78 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aya El Sayed | 43c | 2,475$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.25 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sofia Camila Rojas | 77c | 1,694$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.8 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Aya El Sayed | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Aya El Sayed | 22c | 527.65$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.12 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Aya El Sayed | 44c | 436.59$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.1 | 306 | 42.2%129 W · 177 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Aya El Sayed | 18c | 397.51$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.19 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Aya El Sayed | 15c | 251.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Aya El Sayed | 32c | 165.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Sofia Camila Rojas | 65c | 153.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Aya El Sayed | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Aya El Sayed | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Sofia Camila Rojas | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Aya El Sayed | 32c | 97.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Aya El Sayed | 47c | 81.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Aya El Sayed | 47c | 74.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Aya El Sayed | 38c | 50.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Aya El Sayed | 32c | 47.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Sofia Camila Rojas | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Sofia Camila Rojas | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f23…441fbacked Aya El Sayed | 40c | 37.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Sofia Camila Rojas | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Sofia Camila Rojas | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Sofia Camila Rojas | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Sofia Camila Rojas | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Sofia Camila Rojas | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…61babacked Sofia Camila Rojas | 79c | 17.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Sofia Camila Rojas | 68c | 15.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Sofia Camila Rojas | 79c | 14.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.