CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs HAVU (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf41937cb4624039b7603ae852ef8a5871ba74acdee2b84b9d413e62c383371f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HAVUof GenOne, HAVU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked GenOne | 55c | 7,465$4,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,111 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed HAVU | 45c | 6,505$2,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,577.67 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed GenOne | 55c | 2,804$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.06 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…391dbacked HAVU | 45c | 993.53$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.86 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed GenOne | 52c | 869.57$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.93 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed HAVU | 44c | 681.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.81 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed HAVU | 45c | 591.84$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.51 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed HAVU | 48c | 561.17$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.17 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked HAVU | 46c | 510.27$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.88 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked GenOne | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed HAVU | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HAVU | 52c | 479$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed GenOne | 55c | 367.16$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.81 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed GenOne | 47c | 349.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.88 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked HAVU | 47c | 330.21$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.13 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed HAVU | 45c | 301.44$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.79 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed HAVU | 44c | 286$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.16 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed HAVU | 47c | 214.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.05 | 317 | 61.2%194 W · 123 L | +22.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed HAVU | 44c | 181.89$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.86 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked HAVU | 46c | 180.09$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.36 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed HAVU | 48c | 153$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked HAVU | 45c | 111$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | -13.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed HAVU | 48c | 107$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked HAVU | 55c | 85.58$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1273…8eddbacked HAVU | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed GenOne | 51c | 50.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…7f56backed GenOne | 55c | 49.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed GenOne | 49c | 49.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed GenOne | 53c | 43.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked HAVU | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked HAVU | 49c | 34.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef96…5ed3backed HAVU | 51c | 27.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed HAVU | 53c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed HAVU | 47c | 23.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…57e0backed HAVU | 48c | 23.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed HAVU | 44c | 23.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…5b7bbacked GenOne | 55c | 22.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked HAVU | 46c | 21.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed GenOne | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked HAVU | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked GenOne | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed GenOne | 55c | 18.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 320 | 54.4%174 W · 146 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed GenOne | 55c | 18.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs HAVU (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: GenOne vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group StageGenOne won
- Counter-Strike: GenOne vs HAVU - Map 1 WinnerHAVU won
- Counter-Strike: GenOne vs HAVU - Map 2 WinnerGenOne won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.