Other European Leagues · resolved market
Amed Sportif vs. Erzurumspor FK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf476f3ee46665f377d90a15e6e1f3f9203fe6a29b3e2351bf91de5ac78b89fe2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 53c | 1,530$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.98 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 1,227$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.41 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 23c | 526$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.98 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 59c | 309.83$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.05 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 16c | 303.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +10.1wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +229.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…d4a0backed Over | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…a267backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 29c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 71c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe30f…ab88backed Under | 53c | 37.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 56c | 30.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 56c | 30.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…6600backed Over | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Amed Sportif vs. Erzurumspor FK: O/U 1.5this page
- Amed Sportif vs. Erzurumspor FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Amed Sportif vs. Erzurumspor FK: Amed Sportif O/U 1.5Over won
- Amed Sportif vs. Erzurumspor FK: Amed Sportif O/U 2.5Over won
- Amed Sportif vs. Erzurumspor FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Amed Sportif vs. Erzurumspor FK: Erzurumspor FK O/U 1.5Under won
- Amed Sportif vs. Erzurumspor FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Amed Sportif vs. Erzurumspor FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Amed Sportif vs. Erzurumspor FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Amed Sportif vs. Erzurumspor FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Amed Sportif (-1.5)Amed Sportif won
- Spread: Erzurumspor FK (-2.5)Amed Sportif won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.