TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Alabama A&M Bulldogs (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Alabama A&M Bulldogsof Alabama A&M Bulldogs, Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,991
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,082

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,991 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x198c…6a94backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs52c964.05$498 inWon+$465.8918846.8%88 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions48c666.73$319 inLost-$319.0912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs53c396.29$208 inWon+$188.1215551.6%80 W · 75 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions49c204.08$100 inLost-$1004,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions48c185.97$89 inLost-$89.362,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaec…eaafbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs51c97.21$50 inWon+$47.213745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions48c95.51$46 inLost-$45.843,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs50c90$45 inWon+$455149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions49c80$39 inLost-$39.140849.8%203 W · 205 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161b…e1fdbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs52c71.52$37 inWon+$34.332540%10 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions50c70.47$36 inLost-$35.5515947.2%75 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions48c64.97$31 inLost-$31.1930746.3%142 W · 165 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions48c53.53$26 inLost-$25.691,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions50c50$25 inLost-$253,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions48c50$24 inLost-$2485248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions47c42.35$20 inLost-$19.95,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions50c32$16 inLost-$1671655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs50c32$16 inWon+$161,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs50c20$10 inWon+$1082846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.