Tennis · resolved market
Adelaide International: Emerson Jones vs Emma Navarro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf50b15530689fba1b542f223c6aa9aa1ddf2b92834f363e82c2ed6b6d8edc2b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navarroof Jones, Navarro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Jones | 28c | 3,504$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Navarro | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Jones | 16c | 521.25$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Jones | 9c | 477.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Jones | 12c | 468.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Navarro | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Jones | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jones | 13c | 264$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…d3febacked Jones | 24c | 201.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jones | 19c | 198.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68f0…fdf8backed Navarro | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Jones | 23c | 82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0483…483bbacked Navarro | 71c | 77.74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Navarro | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 398 | 44.2%176 W · 222 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Navarro | 77c | 61.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…c974backed Navarro | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Navarro | 72c | 53.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Navarro | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Jones | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Navarro | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.