Lol · resolved market
LoL: GIANTX iTero vs FALKE Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf515879fd3395c3b9329905498b08261b1846c91017124c6e2b7705ed332922b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GIANTX iTeroof GIANTX iTero, FALKE Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec92…6b59backed FALKE Esports | 2c | 3,700$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 165 | 11.5%19 W · 146 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed FALKE Esports | 21c | 1,867$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,232 | 58.1%716 W · 516 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3737…bfd1backed FALKE Esports | 25c | 1,281$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.64 | 385 | 56.9%219 W · 166 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked GIANTX iTero | 76c | 1,146$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.49 | 892 | 44.1%393 W · 499 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked GIANTX iTero | 79c | 1,132$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.32 | 3,032 | 44.4%1,347 W · 1,685 L | -100.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed FALKE Esports | 22c | 528.4$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.97 | 437 | 39.6%173 W · 264 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…c253backed FALKE Esports | 20c | 415.81$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.04 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked GIANTX iTero | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed GIANTX iTero | 79c | 299.99$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 386 | 59.8%231 W · 155 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed GIANTX iTero | 77c | 296.19$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 2,545 | 47.3%1,203 W · 1,342 L | -35.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked FALKE Esports | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 272 | 44.1%120 W · 152 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed FALKE Esports | 25c | 249.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 332 | 37.7%125 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…e505backed GIANTX iTero | 77c | 154.15$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ca…f644backed FALKE Esports | 20c | 150.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed FALKE Esports | 26c | 129$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed GIANTX iTero | 70c | 125$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 2,255 | 33.1%746 W · 1,509 L | -76.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed GIANTX iTero | 47c | 97.89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 1,730 | 29.5%510 W · 1,220 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48ef…8444backed FALKE Esports | 68c | 47.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked GIANTX iTero | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3073…3413backed FALKE Esports | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 195 | 60.5%118 W · 77 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed GIANTX iTero | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed GIANTX iTero | 76c | 18.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…2450backed GIANTX iTero | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: GIANTX iTero vs FALKE Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: GXI (-1.5) vs FALKE Esports (+1.5)GIANTX iTero won
- LoL: GIANTX iTero vs FALKE Esports (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonGIANTX iTero won
- LoL: GIANTX iTero vs FALKE Esports - Game 1 WinnerGIANTX iTero won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.