Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf51a6bce07812c9e40ced29cf0c9c813ee8337d1b3f820a38e445bdc78b93af9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 44c | 972$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.52 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 45c | 720.46$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.39 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Yes | 57c | 260$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.34per pick | 39cpaid | +147.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 57c | 121.57$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…a4d3backed Yes | 56c | 116.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…53a7backed No | 43c | 104$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…48e8backed No | 42c | 99.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 58c | 87.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…bbeebacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 43c | 84.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 123 | 39.8%49 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 44c | 62.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2a49backed Yes | 59c | 62.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.