South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CA Newell's Old Boys (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5211d99f736cb4ffa37b2f4374c49f6b268edf4b8832eda9209856140894e7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CA Central Córdobaof CA Newell's Old Boys, CA Central Córdoba
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CA Newell's Old Boys | 47c | 1,595$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.09 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CA Central Córdoba | 53c | 1,328$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.57 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed CA Newell's Old Boys | 3c | 1,103$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed CA Central Córdoba | 54c | 183.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.02 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked CA Central Córdoba | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked CA Newell's Old Boys | 46c | 133.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked CA Central Córdoba | 54c | 132.49$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.37 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed CA Central Córdoba | 53c | 107.09$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked CA Central Córdoba | 52c | 93.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked CA Central Córdoba | 55c | 47.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CA Newell's Old Boys (-2.5)this page
- CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.