Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf58db07adcf02ee7dd63073d77e545c37532305fddc53d6daf98937c387b207b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof Team Vitality, Gentle Mates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Gentle Mates | 67c | 750$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.16 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Vitality | 36c | 567.29$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.35 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Gentle Mates | 64c | 565.36$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.53 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Team Vitality | 33c | 501$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.33 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Team Vitality | 44c | 393.45$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Team Vitality | 34c | 360$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Team Vitality | 40c | 346.66$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.69 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Gentle Mates | 56c | 345.75$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.13 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Gentle Mates | 67c | 328.81$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.81 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf71e…917bbacked Gentle Mates | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Vitality | 33c | 264.62$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Team Vitality | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…63fcbacked Team Vitality | 34c | 199.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Gentle Mates | 63c | 187.7$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Team Vitality | 38c | 160.82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Team Vitality | 33c | 105.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Vitality | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Gentle Mates | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Team Vitality | 37c | 76.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Gentle Mates | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3416…adaabacked Gentle Mates | 67c | 71.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Team Vitality | 33c | 52.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1273…8eddbacked Gentle Mates | 66c | 48.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Gentle Mates | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 184 | 65.2%120 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Gentle Mates | 55c | 42.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Team Vitality | 32c | 38.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Team Vitality | 36c | 30.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Gentle Mates | 63c | 24.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Gentle Mates | 63c | 16.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group AlphaTeam Vitality won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality - Map 1 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality - Map 2 WinnerTeam Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.