TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

Fight to Go the Distance?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,050
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,066

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,050 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x092c…82a4backed Yes30c884.61$265 inWon+$619.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x797f…7b23backed No70c884.61$619 inLost-$619.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e3c…5d53backed No70c820.51$574 inLost-$574.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+233.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…6d1cbacked Yes30c820.51$246 inWon+$574.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf917…8ca4backed Yes30c590.99$177 inWon+$413.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x763d…68dcbacked No70c590.99$414 inLost-$413.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77d6…25d9backed No71c564$400 inLost-$400.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb056…40e1backed Yes29c564$164 inWon+$400.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacba…5676backed No70c351.99$246 inLost-$246.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb683…b8f7backed Yes30c351.99$106 inWon+$246.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffc2…741cbacked Yes30c321.83$97 inWon+$225.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fa1…4e7fbacked No70c321.83$225 inLost-$225.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1591…8033backed No70c286.32$200 inLost-$200.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07b3…e3ccbacked Yes30c286.32$86 inWon+$200.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bee…dee9backed No71c236.35$168 inLost-$167.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0c8…a016backed Yes29c236.35$69 inWon+$167.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x691d…b2debacked No70c188.45$132 inLost-$131.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba7e…5f27backed Yes30c188.45$57 inWon+$131.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76c9…c3f0backed Yes37c68.46$25 inWon+$43.464057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No63c44.33$28 inLost-$28.058848.9%43 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x529c…053ebacked No72c43.1$31 inLost-$31.03933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-49%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9413…11acbacked No64c41.06$26 inLost-$26.389459.6%56 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.