Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Salford City FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5b43b6a89171cd4f401bc0d101783c3b12d9d14c7cdf3019e57b8f9ef5c7e9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shrewsbury Town FCof Salford City FC, Shrewsbury Town FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Salford City FC | 26c | 2,143$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.68 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shrewsbury Town FC | 64c | 1,760$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.6 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Shrewsbury Town FC | 80c | 1,750$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.26 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Salford City FC | 27c | 560.3$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.28 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Salford City FC | 36c | 347$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Salford City FC | 36c | 280.96$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.15 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Salford City FC | 35c | 168.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.13 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa686…e7a8backed Salford City FC | 40c | 107.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Shrewsbury Town FC | 64c | 104.06$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Shrewsbury Town FC | 65c | 69.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Salford City FC | 36c | 67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Salford City FC | 36c | 67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Salford City FC | 37c | 60.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Shrewsbury Town FC | 65c | 39.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Shrewsbury Town FC | 65c | 16.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Salford City FC (-1.5)this page
- Salford City FC vs. Shrewsbury Town FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Salford City FC vs. Shrewsbury Town FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Salford City FC vs. Shrewsbury Town FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Salford City FC vs. Shrewsbury Town FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Salford City FC vs. Shrewsbury Town FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Salford City FC vs. Shrewsbury Town FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Shrewsbury Town FC (-2.5)Salford City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.