TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,462
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,509

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,462 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc61d…3933backed Over51c1,243$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.5412139.7%48 W · 73 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under49c995.61$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.612466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+34.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over50c500.23$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under48c333.38$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.3614553.1%77 W · 68 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under50c238.67$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.3496443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under51c172.2$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.861,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1732…1c15backed Over52c122.12$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Under50c112.84$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.421936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-37%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf771…f65fbacked Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+38.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48a2…316dbacked Over52c54.96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.581070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+47.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda75…7dcbbacked Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203568.6%24 W · 11 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+30.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x297d…8941backed Over49c38.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid+55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85ed…4d2abacked Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.041233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-45.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38e9…736dbacked Over49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157258.3%42 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9790…b314backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe497…2b89backed Over52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6795…4a4cbacked Over52c21.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2f5…5107backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.