Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UT Arlington Mavericks vs. California Baptist Lancers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf65cd8354be760842be16963035457c3be78710684f890fb7914349f5949aab7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- California Baptist Lancersof UT Arlington Mavericks, California Baptist Lancers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed California Baptist Lancers | 72c | 2,641$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.82 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 27c | 2,129$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.86 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 31c | 1,107$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.96 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 10c | 1,098$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed California Baptist Lancers | 74c | 988.68$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.54 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 24c | 667.77$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.58 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed California Baptist Lancers | 73c | 633.83$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.25 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked California Baptist Lancers | 72c | 588.8$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.94 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 28c | 545.28$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.68 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 33c | 490.41$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.88 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…c94bbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 4c | 360.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 30c | 297.81$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.19 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 34c | 242.08$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.31 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed California Baptist Lancers | 72c | 207.29$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 29c | 200.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…48dfbacked California Baptist Lancers | 71c | 183.79$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed California Baptist Lancers | 71c | 109.07$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed California Baptist Lancers | 72c | 95.91$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed California Baptist Lancers | 72c | 84.88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 28c | 74.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 29c | 68.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed California Baptist Lancers | 71c | 55.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 28c | 54.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 38c | 36.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked California Baptist Lancers | 76c | 18.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked California Baptist Lancers | 75c | 16.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.