CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M80 vs 9INE (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf68b40c9e8c6342d12c0cc3378e3a3a70b93d19dd2a8d2fa8263bd74edef1378
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 9INEof M80, 9INE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc192…086cbacked M80 | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 9INE | 44c | 1,585$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.76 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b9…5206backed 9INE | 43c | 611.4$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed 9INE | 30c | 484.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.99 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed M80 | 69c | 471.01$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed M80 | 65c | 400$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.5 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed M80 | 39c | 359.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf248…72bfbacked 9INE | 32c | 311.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.65 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 9INE | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed 9INE | 41c | 300$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.75 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked 9INE | 66c | 258.51$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.07 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked 9INE | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed 9INE | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked M80 | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed 9INE | 34c | 121.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…c9f5backed M80 | 66c | 121.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed 9INE | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e8…e1d7backed 9INE | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed M80 | 61c | 95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe0…4fafbacked M80 | 80c | 85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed M80 | 61c | 84.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed M80 | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848b…c56ebacked 9INE | 38c | 48.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed 9INE | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 194 | 23.7%46 W · 148 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…ceeabacked 9INE | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked M80 | 49c | 39.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55e…a07abacked M80 | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.